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Project planning

Estimate learning work with uncertainty visible

By SI100x · Published

An estimate is a planning aid, not a promise. For unfamiliar work, identify the parts you understand and the dependencies that could change the effort.

Try this exercise

  1. Break the task into a small visible result, tests and review. Mark unfamiliar integrations separately from work you have already practiced.
  2. Start with a short investigation when a dependency is uncertain. Use the result to revise the plan before committing the rest of the project to an assumption.
  3. Compare the estimate with the actual work after the milestone. Record what changed so the next estimate has better evidence.

Check your result

A useful plan explains the uncertainty and the next decision. Avoid promising job readiness or a fixed completion time based solely on how quickly a guided example was completed.

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